Coventry City vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
14.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
WHU
2 - 1
COV
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1978 |
COV
4 - 0
WOL
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 2
COV
51%
25%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1978 |
COV
2 - 3
ASV
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
IPS
1 - 1
COV
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
BRI
3 - 1
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
2 - 2
MAC
43%
27%
31%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1978 |
NTT
2 - 0
NEW
68%
18%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1978 |
NEW
0 - 2
EVE
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1978 |
CHL
2 - 2
NEW
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |