Championship Playoff Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Coventry City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
COV
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
COV
2 - 0
BIR
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
COV
2 - 1
REA
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
BBU
1 - 1
COV
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
QPR
0 - 3
COV
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2023 |
MID
1 - 1
COV
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 0
MID
25%
24%
52%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
LUT
2 - 1
MID
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
MID
3 - 1
HUL
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
MID
5 - 1
NOR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |