Coventry City vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
COV
2 - 1
IPS
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
IPS
2 - 1
COV
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
COV
2 - 3
WAT
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
COV
1 - 1
BAR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
NTT
1 - 0
COV
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
MKD
0 - 0
HAR
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BRO
4 - 1
HAR
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
0 - 1
LEE
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
YEO
2 - 3
HAR
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
HAR
2 - 3
SCU
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |