EFL Cup 1/16
Global 2-3
Coventry City vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1996 |
EVE
1 - 1
COV
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
COV
0 - 0
SHW
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
GIL
2 - 2
COV
16%
25%
59%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
ARS
0 - 0
COV
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
COV
1 - 1
SOU
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1996 |
BRO
0 - 0
GIL
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1996 |
PLY
2 - 0
GIL
50%
28%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
GIL
1 - 1
PNE
43%
28%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1996 |
GIL
2 - 2
COV
16%
25%
59%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1996 |
STF
1 - 2
GIL
52%
27%
21%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |