Coventry City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
NOR
1 - 0
COV
49%
25%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
COV
2 - 1
MID
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 0
COV
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
COV
2 - 1
BIR
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
WBA
7 - 1
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
DER
2 - 1
BIR
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
MAC
1 - 2
DER
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1978 |
DER
4 - 1
WOL
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
LEE
4 - 0
DER
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
DER
2 - 2
TOT
58%
21%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |