Coventry City vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
CHL
1 - 0
COV
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1973 |
COV
2 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
COV
2 - 0
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1973 |
MAC
1 - 0
COV
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
2 - 2
COV
59%
23%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1973 |
BUR
1 - 1
DER
43%
28%
29%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
DER
3 - 1
LIV
47%
28%
26%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
DER
2 - 1
EVE
69%
19%
12%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1973 |
LIV
2 - 0
DER
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
BIR
0 - 0
DER
41%
28%
31%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |