Coventry City vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
16%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
MID
4 - 4
COV
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
COV
1 - 1
WHU
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
BIR
1 - 2
COV
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
LEI
0 - 1
COV
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1974 |
COV
2 - 1
LUT
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1974 |
CUM
3 - 0
DER
26%
29%
44%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1974 |
TOT
1 - 1
CUM
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1974 |
WOL
2 - 0
CUM
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1974 |
CUM
0 - 1
LIV
21%
31%
48%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
LUT
3 - 1
CUM
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |