Coventry City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1986 |
COV
1 - 3
WAT
43%
23%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
NTT
5 - 2
COV
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
COV
0 - 1
IPS
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
COV
1 - 3
EVE
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
MAC
5 - 1
COV
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1986 |
OPA
2 - 2
ASV
48%
23%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1986 |
ASV
0 - 1
MAC
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
WBA
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1985 |
LEI
3 - 1
ASV
49%
24%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1985 |
QPR
0 - 1
ASV
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |