Coventry City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Coventry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
STO
0 - 1
COV
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
COV
0 - 2
LEI
52%
25%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
COV
1 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
BIR
1 - 1
COV
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
COV
1 - 1
ARS
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
LIV
32%
31%
37%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
BIR
3 - 2
ASV
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
ASV
0 - 0
STO
41%
28%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1976 |
LEI
2 - 2
ASV
57%
23%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
TOT
5 - 2
ASV
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |