Cove Rangers vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
1º
35
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
46% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
41% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cove Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
COV
2 - 0
ICT
29%
23%
49%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
COV
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COV
1 - 2
ICT
38%
25%
37%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
0 - 3
COV
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
COV
52%
23%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
IRV
0 - 5
STE
12%
18%
71%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
MON
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 1
STE
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
STE
2 - 1
KHE
40%
25%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |