Cove Rangers vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
10º
1º
25
2º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
34 | 58 |
1º
|
37.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 58 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 49 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 46 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 42 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 36 |
10º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
37.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
50% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 27.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 21% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cove Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
LIV
3 - 0
COV
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
COV
2 - 1
ARB
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
STE
0 - 4
COV
34%
26%
40%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
COV
2 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
QOS
1 - 0
COV
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MON
2 - 2
ALL
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 3
STE
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BLA
2 - 2
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
QUE
3 - 2
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
MON
0 - 0
KHE
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |