CD Covadonga vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CON
3 - 3
COV
23%
23%
54%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
COV
5 - 2
MAD
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDL
1 - 0
COV
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
COV
2 - 1
LEN
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEA
1 - 1
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 0
CLA
58%
22%
20%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ESM
0 - 1
AVI
55%
24%
22%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 0
CAU
15%
21%
65%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MOS
3 - 0
AVI
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
COL
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |