CD Covadonga vs Luarca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LEN
1 - 1
COV
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
COV
0 - 4
OVI
22%
24%
54%
|
26 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
DBN
2 - 0
COV
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
COV
0 - 3
DBN
41%
26%
33%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -3 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
URR
0 - 2
COV
39%
25%
37%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Luarca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LUA
0 - 2
UPL
27%
28%
45%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
TAP
3 - 0
LUA
38%
27%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LUA
2 - 1
NAV
69%
20%
11%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
LEA
1 - 2
LUA
47%
26%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
LUA
1 - 2
NAI
59%
24%
17%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |