Cova Piedade vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
62%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cova Piedade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
ACV
2 - 2
COV
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
COV
1 - 2
AVE
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIZ
2 - 3
COV
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
COV
1 - 0
VAR
29%
28%
43%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
GFC
2 - 2
COV
63%
23%
14%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SPB
2 - 0
NAC
69%
19%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
VST
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
SPB
4 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 2
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
RIO
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |