Cournon vs Thiers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cournon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
ERN
1 - 2
COU
41%
24%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
COU
1 - 0
VEN
27%
27%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
EVI
2 - 1
COU
69%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
COU
0 - 1
SAI
29%
26%
46%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 2
COU
75%
16%
9%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Thiers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VEN
1 - 2
THI
70%
20%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
THI
1 - 3
EVI
20%
23%
57%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
THI
3 - 1
CHA
52%
24%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ECH
2 - 0
THI
58%
23%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
THI
0 - 1
LPV
29%
24%
46%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |