Cournon vs Nantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.8%
73.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
AUX
2 - 1
NAN
54%
26%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
NAN
2 - 2
SOC
40%
27%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
NAN
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2004 |
NAN
0 - 1
NIC
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |