CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Cotonsport vs Stade Malien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotonsport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LES
2 - 1
COT
54%
26%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
CAN
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
AFA
57%
22%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 0
UNI
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
DOU
1 - 0
COT
50%
28%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Malien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
JEA
2 - 3
STA
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
STA
3 - 0
BAM
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
CAS
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
STA
2 - 0
ATA
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
STA
1 - 0
BAK
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |