CAF Champions Last 16
Global 5-1
Cotonsport vs Flambeau de l'Est analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotonsport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
UNI
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
COT
16%
25%
59%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
DOU
0 - 0
COT
52%
28%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
COT
3 - 0
NJA
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
COT
2 - 1
FOV
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 0
COT
16%
25%
59%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LLB
2 - 1
FLA
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
6 - 0
FLA
45%
26%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
1 - 1
DIA
48%
25%
26%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -5 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
DIA
0 - 1
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +2 |