Cotia vs Tupã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
MAT
1 - 2
COT
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
COT
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
COT
1 - 1
SER
31%
25%
45%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
COT
0 - 0
VOT
29%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
COT
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tupã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
INT
1 - 1
TUP
61%
23%
16%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 2
FLA
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
TUP
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
5 - 2
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +4 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TUP
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |