Cotia vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
COT
1 - 0
SJS
27%
26%
48%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
COT
64%
20%
15%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 2
VOT
25%
25%
50%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 0
COT
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
COT
2 - 3
ATI
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
21%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
TAU
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 3
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |