Cotia vs Atibaia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cotia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
COT
0 - 3
SER
30%
25%
46%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
COT
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
COT
3 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
COT
0 - 4
TAU
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Atibaia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
INT
1 - 0
ATI
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ATI
2 - 0
RIO
25%
23%
51%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATI
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
ATI
2 - 1
NAC
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ATI
5 - 2
TAB
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |