Costa Rica vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CRC
4 - 0
USA
40%
26%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
TTO
0 - 2
CRC
21%
24%
55%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 4
CRC
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CRC
3 - 1
PAN
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HTI
0 - 1
CRC
16%
24%
60%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 1
SLV
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SLV
1 - 3
MEX
11%
21%
69%
|
66 | 91 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SLV
0 - 4
ARM
39%
25%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PER
3 - 1
SLV
75%
18%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
HND
2 - 0
SLV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |