Costa Rica vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 1
GTM
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
2 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
BLZ
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
CRC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRC
7 - 0
GUY
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SLV
0 - 0
PAN
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 0
SLV
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRC
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
GUY
2 - 3
SLV
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |