Costa Rica vs El Salvador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CUB
0 - 3
CRC
12%
21%
67%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
18%
13%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
CRC
1 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 0
CRC
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAR
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2003 |
SLV
1 - 0
MTQ
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
USA
2 - 0
SLV
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2003 |
GTM
2 - 1
SLV
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
1 - 2
SLV
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 92 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
PAR
1 - 0
SLV
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |