Costa Rica vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
CRC
3 - 0
TTO
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
CRC
2 - 2
HND
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
CRC
5 - 2
GTM
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
GTM
2 - 1
CRC
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
USA
0 - 0
CRC
63%
22%
16%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2001 |
ARG
5 - 0
VEN
83%
13%
4%
|
67 | 97 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
VEN
1 - 2
ECU
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
VEN
0 - 6
BRA
9%
19%
72%
|
67 | 99 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2000 |
PAR
3 - 0
VEN
74%
18%
8%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
PER
1 - 0
VEN
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |