Costa Rica vs Uruguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
47.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
BOL
0 - 4
CRC
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2001 |
URU
1 - 1
CRC
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
HND
0 - 1
CRC
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
HND
2 - 3
CRC
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2001 |
CRC
2 - 1
JAM
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
HND
1 - 0
URU
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2001 |
URU
1 - 1
CRC
67%
19%
14%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2001 |
BOL
0 - 1
URU
16%
23%
61%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2001 |
URU
1 - 0
BRA
16%
21%
63%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |