Costa Rica vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
CRC
2 - 1
VEN
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
CRC
3 - 0
JAM
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
JAM
1 - 1
CRC
24%
26%
51%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
VEN
1 - 0
CRC
35%
26%
40%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
CRC
1 - 0
NIC
91%
7%
2%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAR
64%
22%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 2
BRA
9%
16%
75%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ECU
2 - 2
PAR
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PER
1 - 0
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |