Costa Rica vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
UZB
1 - 2
CRC
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
KOR
2 - 2
CRC
65%
20%
14%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
CRC
1 - 0
NZL
67%
21%
12%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CRC
2 - 0
MTQ
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
PAN
2 - 0
CRC
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 0
GHA
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
GHA
2 - 0
NGA
34%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
84 | 37 | 47 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2022 |
NGA
2 - 1
SLE
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |