Costa Rica vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
CRC
0 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
GUY
0 - 4
CRC
14%
24%
62%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CRC
2 - 2
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
GTM
1 - 0
CRC
27%
27%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2012 |
CRC
3 - 2
GTM
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
MEX
0 - 1
USA
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
1 - 2
MEX
11%
22%
68%
|
93 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
GUY
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 59 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
MEX
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 98 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 1
BIH
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |