Costa Rica vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
38%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
CRC
3 - 1
PAN
82%
12%
6%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1993 |
COL
4 - 1
CRC
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1993 |
CRC
0 - 1
CAN
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
CRC
2 - 0
PAN
69%
20%
11%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
HND
2 - 0
CRC
41%
30%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1993 |
PER
2 - 4
MEX
32%
30%
37%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
0 - 0
BOL
74%
18%
9%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1993 |
ARG
1 - 1
MEX
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1993 |
COL
2 - 1
MEX
43%
29%
29%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1993 |
MEX
3 - 1
PAR
58%
25%
17%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |