Costa Rica vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
68.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
CRC
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
URU
1 - 3
CRC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
1 - 1
IRL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
1 - 3
JPN
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAR
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2014 |
URU
2 - 1
ENG
26%
23%
51%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
ENG
1 - 2
ITA
53%
24%
24%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
ENG
0 - 0
HND
81%
14%
5%
|
94 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 2
ENG
24%
24%
52%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
ENG
3 - 0
PER
79%
15%
6%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |