Costa Rica vs Guadeloupe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
12%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.3%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
HTI
1 - 1
CRC
18%
22%
60%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
CRC
1 - 2
CAN
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
CRC
2 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 1
CRC
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CRC
4 - 0
NZL
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Guadeloupe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
CAN
1 - 2
GLP
81%
14%
5%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2007 |
GLP
1 - 1
HTI
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GLP
2 - 2
TTO
18%
22%
59%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2007 |
CUB
2 - 1
GLP
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
GLP
1 - 3
HTI
14%
20%
65%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |