Costa Rica vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
CRC
1 - 1
MEX
32%
31%
38%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
USA
1 - 1
CRC
45%
25%
31%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1991 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1991 |
HND
2 - 0
CRC
40%
30%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1991 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
USA
2 - 1
SUN
21%
29%
50%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
USA
0 - 1
SUN
21%
28%
51%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
USA
1 - 1
CRC
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1991 |
USA
1 - 2
PRK
76%
15%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1991 |
USA
1 - 0
JAM
79%
14%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |