Costa Rica vs Ecuador analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
USA
2 - 1
CRC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
CRC
7 - 2
CUB
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
CRC
4 - 0
TTO
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1998 |
CRC
1 - 4
HND
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
CRC
3 - 1
CAN
63%
21%
15%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ecuador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1998 |
BRA
5 - 1
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 99 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
URU
5 - 3
ECU
60%
24%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
ECU
1 - 0
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
BRA
4 - 2
ECU
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1997 |
ECU
2 - 1
PAR
40%
28%
32%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |