Costa Rica vs Colombia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
19%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
CRC
1 - 0
GTM
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1991 |
CRC
7 - 1
SLV
70%
20%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
CRC
2 - 0
HND
59%
24%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1991 |
CRC
0 - 1
URU
38%
30%
32%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
CRC
0 - 0
MEX
33%
30%
38%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Colombia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1991 |
SWE
2 - 2
COL
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1991 |
COL
2 - 3
SUI
49%
28%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1991 |
MEX
0 - 0
COL
71%
20%
9%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1990 |
CMR
2 - 1
COL
50%
28%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1990 |
BRD
1 - 1
COL
80%
15%
6%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |