Costa Rica vs Panama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
PAR
1 - 0
CRC
59%
23%
17%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
CRC
1 - 2
TTO
63%
20%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2000 |
KOR
2 - 2
CRC
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CRC
2 - 2
CAN
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
CRC
1 - 0
CHI
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Panama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2000 |
ECU
5 - 0
PAN
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 0
VEN
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2000 |
VEN
3 - 1
PAN
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2000 |
PAN
4 - 0
NIC
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
JAM
0 - 1
PAN
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |