Costa Rica vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.2%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
9.9%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
7%
2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 2
CRC
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CRC
1 - 0
HTI
72%
18%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
USA
0 - 1
CRC
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
CRC
0 - 1
RSA
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
CRC
1 - 0
URU
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
CUB
30%
24%
47%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
NIC
5 - 0
CUB
23%
22%
55%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
TTO
0 - 0
NIC
80%
14%
6%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
CUB
1 - 1
NIC
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
CUB
0 - 1
NIC
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |