Costa Rica vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.1%
3.2%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
NED
0 - 0
CRC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
1 - 1
GRC
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2014 |
CRC
0 - 0
ENG
13%
19%
68%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
CRC
69%
20%
11%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
URU
1 - 3
CRC
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
GTM
3 - 0
NIC
79%
14%
7%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 2
BLZ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
2 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
4%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
PRI
1 - 1
NIC
39%
24%
37%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |