Costa Rica vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
CRC
6 - 0
NIC
70%
19%
10%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
BRA
4 - 2
CRC
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1992 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
URU
2 - 1
CRC
64%
23%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
CRC
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1993 |
CRC
6 - 0
NIC
70%
19%
10%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
GTM
7 - 1
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
SLV
2 - 0
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
2 - 3
SLV
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
PAN
3 - 1
NIC
60%
18%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +6 |