Costa Rica vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1992 |
BRA
4 - 2
CRC
80%
15%
5%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1992 |
ECU
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1992 |
URU
2 - 1
CRC
64%
23%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1992 |
CRC
2 - 1
ECU
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
SLV
1 - 1
CRC
30%
26%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
GTM
7 - 1
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
SLV
2 - 0
NIC
59%
24%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1991 |
NIC
2 - 3
SLV
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1966 |
PAN
3 - 1
NIC
60%
18%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +6 |
| 09 Mar. 1950 |
NIC
1 - 11
ANT
90%
7%
3%
|
53 | 18 | 35 | +2 |