Costa Rica vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
SLV
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 1
GTM
68%
18%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
2 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
BLZ
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
CRC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
HND
1 - 0
BLZ
86%
11%
4%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
1 - 1
HND
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
HND
1 - 1
SLV
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
HND
0 - 0
PER
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
HND
8 - 1
CAN
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |