Costa Rica vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2007 |
CRC
4 - 0
TTO
67%
20%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
SUI
2 - 0
CRC
63%
22%
15%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
AUT
2 - 2
CRC
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2006 |
CRC
1 - 2
POL
23%
22%
56%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2006 |
ECU
3 - 0
CRC
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
HND
1 - 1
DEN
22%
26%
52%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
HND
2 - 1
GTM
60%
24%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2006 |
GTM
2 - 3
HND
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
HND
2 - 0
SLV
74%
18%
9%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2006 |
VEN
0 - 0
HND
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |