Costa Rica vs Haiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2004 |
HND
0 - 0
CRC
44%
27%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2004 |
CAN
1 - 3
CRC
32%
29%
40%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
CRC
5 - 0
GTM
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
CRC
1 - 0
CAN
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GTM
2 - 1
CRC
38%
28%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Haiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
HTI
0 - 1
CUB
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
KNA
0 - 2
HTI
10%
18%
72%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
HTI
1 - 0
KNA
83%
12%
5%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
JAM
3 - 1
HTI
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2004 |
HTI
2 - 0
MAF
93%
6%
1%
|
75 | 15 | 60 | 0 |