Costa Rica vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
2 - 0
NIC
86%
10%
4%
|
84 | 50 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
CRC
1 - 0
BLZ
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
BOL
1 - 1
CRC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
CRC
7 - 0
GUY
85%
12%
4%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 1
CRC
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BLZ
0 - 0
GTM
8%
17%
76%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2013 |
GTM
1 - 1
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 0
GTM
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2013 |
PAN
3 - 0
GTM
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
GTM
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |