Costa Rica vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
USA
3 - 0
CRC
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 0
CRC
63%
23%
15%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
TTO
0 - 0
CRC
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAN
72%
17%
10%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
HND
1 - 1
CRC
40%
25%
36%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
GTM
0 - 2
MEX
21%
26%
53%
|
82 | 93 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
BRA
3 - 0
GTM
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 99 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
GTM
0 - 1
JAM
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2005 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
70%
19%
10%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
GTM
5 - 1
TTO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |