Costa Rica vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
CRC
1 - 0
CAN
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GTM
2 - 1
CRC
38%
28%
35%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
CRC
2 - 5
HND
49%
24%
28%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COL
2 - 0
CRC
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2004 |
CRC
2 - 1
CHI
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
JAM
2 - 2
GTM
46%
28%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
HND
2 - 2
GTM
57%
24%
18%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GTM
2 - 1
CRC
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
CAN
0 - 2
GTM
47%
28%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
GTM
4 - 1
TTO
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |