Costa Rica vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2001 |
CRC
4 - 0
BLZ
91%
7%
2%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2001 |
USA
1 - 0
CRC
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2001 |
CRC
2 - 2
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2001 |
CRC
3 - 0
TTO
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
CRC
2 - 2
HND
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2001 |
GTM
3 - 3
BLZ
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 42 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
TTO
3 - 1
GTM
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
GTM
1 - 1
SLV
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2001 |
PAN
2 - 2
GTM
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2001 |
CRC
5 - 2
GTM
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |