Costa Rica vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1996 |
CRC
2 - 0
PAN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
CRC
0 - 0
JAM
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
VEN
2 - 0
CRC
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
JAM
2 - 0
CRC
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
TTO
0 - 1
CRC
37%
25%
37%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
USA
2 - 0
GTM
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
TTO
1 - 1
GTM
52%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 2
SLV
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 1
CUB
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
GTM
1 - 1
HND
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |