Costa Rica vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
AUT
2 - 0
CRC
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
USA
3 - 2
CRC
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
MEX
2 - 0
CRC
68%
19%
14%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2003 |
CRC
5 - 2
SLV
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
CUB
0 - 3
CRC
12%
21%
67%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
HTI
4 - 3
CHN
29%
27%
44%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
CHN
0 - 0
CHI
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CHN
1 - 0
EST
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
CHN
0 - 0
BRA
15%
19%
65%
|
84 | 99 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
BHR
2 - 2
CHN
24%
27%
48%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |