Costa Rica vs Operário Ltda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2022 |
ANA
1 - 0
COS
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
COS
1 - 1
GRE
49%
27%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
IPO
1 - 2
COS
38%
30%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
COS
2 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
COS
0 - 1
NAV
50%
24%
27%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Operário Ltda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
LTD
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 2
BRA
21%
26%
54%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CEI
3 - 0
LTD
65%
21%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
LTD
0 - 0
ANA
33%
26%
41%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
IPO
0 - 1
LTD
59%
25%
16%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |